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WEILONG GRAPE WINE CO., Ltd (SHSE:603779) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

WEILONG GRAPE WINE CO., Ltd (SHSE:603779) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

威龙葡萄酒股份有限公司(SHSE: 603779)股票走强,但基本面看起来不确定:未来会发生什么?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/08 18:01

WEILONG GRAPE WINE's (SHSE:603779) stock is up by a considerable 35% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study WEILONG GRAPE WINE's ROE in this article.

威龙葡萄酒(上海证券交易所代码:603779)的股票在过去一个月中上涨了35%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究威龙葡萄酒的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东要考虑的重要因素,因为它告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

See our latest analysis for WEILONG GRAPE WINE

查看我们对威龙葡萄酒的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

投资回报率是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for WEILONG GRAPE WINE is:

因此,根据上述公式,威龙葡萄酒的投资回报率为:

0.7% = CN¥5.2m ÷ CN¥697m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

0.7% = 520万元人民币 ¥6.97亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.01.

“回报” 是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。因此,这意味着该公司每投资1元人民币,就会产生0.01元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择再投资或 “保留” 的利润金额,我们随后能够评估公司未来的盈利能力。假设其他一切都保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of WEILONG GRAPE WINE's Earnings Growth And 0.7% ROE

威龙葡萄酒的收益增长和0.7%的投资回报率的并排比较

It is hard to argue that WEILONG GRAPE WINE's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 13%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, WEILONG GRAPE WINE's five year net income decline of 29% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很难说威龙葡萄酒的投资回报率本身就非常好。即使与行业平均水平的13%相比,投资回报率的数字也相当令人失望。出于这个原因,鉴于其投资回报率较低,威龙葡萄酒五年净收入下降29%并不奇怪。但是,也可能有其他因素导致收益下降。例如-收益保留率低或资本配置不佳。

So, as a next step, we compared WEILONG GRAPE WINE's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 18% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将威龙葡萄酒的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以18%的速度增长收益。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603779 Past Earnings Growth November 8th 2023
上海证券交易所:603779 过去的收益增长 2023 年 11 月 8 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about WEILONG GRAPE WINE's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。如果你想知道威龙葡萄酒的估值,可以看看这个衡量其与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is WEILONG GRAPE WINE Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

威龙葡萄酒是否能有效地将利润再投资?

WEILONG GRAPE WINE doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

WEILONG GRAPE WINE不支付任何股息,这意味着该公司保留了所有利润,这让我们想知道,如果它无法利用收益来发展业务,为什么还要保留收益。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by WEILONG GRAPE WINE can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for WEILONG GRAPE WINE by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们认为威龙葡萄酒所表现出的表现可以有多种解读。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且还对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。您可以访问我们的 WEILONG GRAPE WINE 查看我们为威龙葡萄酒确定的两种风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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