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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Linewell Software (SHSE:603636) the Stock Grows 10.0%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 46%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Linewell Software (SHSE:603636) the Stock Grows 10.0%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 46%

儘管Linewell Software(上海證券交易所代碼:603636)的收益呈下降趨勢,但該股仍增長了10.0%,使五年來的漲幅達到46%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/08 18:58

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. To wit, the Linewell Software share price has climbed 38% in five years, easily topping the market return of 32% (ignoring dividends).

當我們投資時,我們通常是在尋找表現超過市場平均水平的股票。收購被低估的企業是獲得超額回報的一種途徑。換句話說,Linewell Software的股價在五年內上漲了38%,輕鬆超過了32%的市場回報率(不計股息)。

Since the stock has added CN¥673m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

由於該股僅在過去一週的市值就增加了6.73億元人民幣,因此讓我們看看基礎表現是否推動了長期回報。

Check out our latest analysis for Linewell Software

看看我們對Linewell Software的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

During five years of share price growth, Linewell Software actually saw its EPS drop 15% per year.

在股價增長的五年中,Linewell Software的每股收益實際上每年下降15%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

從本質上講,投資者似乎不太可能將注意力集中在每股收益上。由於每股收益似乎與股價不符,因此我們將改用其他指標。

We doubt the modest 0.7% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, Linewell Software's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 12% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

我們懷疑0.7%的適度股息收益率是否吸引了許多買家購買該股。另一方面,Linewell Software的收入增長良好,在過去五年中複合增長了12%。目前,管理層很有可能將收入增長置於每股收益增長之上。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603636 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2023
SHSE: 603636 2023 年 11 月 8 日收益和收入增長

This free interactive report on Linewell Software's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查Linewell Software的資產負債表實力,這份關於Linewell Software資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Linewell Software, it has a TSR of 46% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。就Linewell Software而言,在過去的5年中,其股東回報率爲46%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 4.0% in the twelve months, Linewell Software shareholders did even worse, losing 13% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 8%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Linewell Software (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約4.0%,但Linewell Software的股東表現更糟,損失了13%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺8%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該了解我們在Linewell Software中發現的3個警告信號(包括一個可能嚴重的警告信號)。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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