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Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (NYSE:GBTG) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 9, 2023 08:16

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Hospitality industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Global Business Travel Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GBTG) P/S ratio of 1.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Global Business Travel Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:GBTG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 9th 2023

How Has Global Business Travel Group Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Global Business Travel Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Global Business Travel Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Global Business Travel Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 41% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 186% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.6% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 18%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Global Business Travel Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Global Business Travel Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Given that Global Business Travel Group's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Global Business Travel Group with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Global Business Travel Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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