Every investor on earth makes bad calls sometimes. But you want to avoid the really big losses like the plague. So take a moment to sympathize with the long term shareholders of James River Group Holdings, Ltd. (NASDAQ:JRVR), who have seen the share price tank a massive 82% over a three year period. That would be a disturbing experience. And over the last year the share price fell 63%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Furthermore, it's down 45% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. We note that the company has reported results fairly recently; and the market is hardly delighted. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report. We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It's a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it's worth keeping in mind there's more to life than money, anyway.
After losing 37% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
Check out our latest analysis for James River Group Holdings
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During five years of share price growth, James River Group Holdings moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.
Revenue is actually up 8.6% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating James River Group Holdings further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
We know that James River Group Holdings has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling James River Group Holdings stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 9.8% in the last year, James River Group Holdings shareholders lost 63% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 12% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that James River Group Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
We will like James River Group Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
