Is Shaanxi Heimao Coking (SHSE:601015) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Is Shaanxi Heimao Coking (SHSE:601015) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shaanxi Heimao Coking Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601015) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有人说,作为投资者,波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,聪明的货币似乎知道债务——通常与破产有关——是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到,陕西黑猫焦化股份有限公司(SHSE:601015)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
See our latest analysis for Shaanxi Heimao Coking
查看我们对陕西黑猫焦化的最新分析
How Much Debt Does Shaanxi Heimao Coking Carry?
陕西黑猫焦化背负多少债务?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Shaanxi Heimao Coking had CN¥4.42b of debt, an increase on CN¥4.22b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.34b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥2.08b.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,陕西黑猫焦化在一年内有44.2亿元人民币的债务,比42.2亿元人民币增加了人民币。但是,由于其现金储备为23.4亿元人民币,其净负债较少,约为20.8亿元人民币。
How Strong Is Shaanxi Heimao Coking's Balance Sheet?
陕西黑猫焦化的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shaanxi Heimao Coking had liabilities of CN¥9.83b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.10b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.34b and CN¥543.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥9.05b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根据上次公布的资产负债表,陕西黑猫焦化在12个月内到期的负债为98.3亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为21.0亿元人民币。另一方面,它在一年内有23.4亿元人民币的现金和价值5.430亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出90.5亿元人民币。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥9.78b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Shaanxi Heimao Coking's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shaanxi Heimao Coking's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
相对于97.8亿元人民币的市值,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注陕西黑猫焦化对债务的使用。如果其贷款人要求其支撑资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重的稀释。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表表现的是陕西黑猫焦化的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。
Over 12 months, Shaanxi Heimao Coking made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥19b, which is a fall of 14%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在过去的12个月中,陕西黑猫焦化在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入下降至1,900亿元人民币,下降了14%。这不是我们希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While Shaanxi Heimao Coking's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥206m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥226m into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shaanxi Heimao Coking you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
尽管陕西黑猫焦化收入的下降差不多像乐观主义者一样令人心动,但可以说,其息税前收益(EBIT)亏损的吸引力更小。事实上,它在息税前利润水平上损失了2.06亿元人民币。考虑到除了上述负债外,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大信心。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管随着时间的推移可能会有所改善。如果它将过去十二个月的2.26亿元人民币的亏损转化为利润,我们会感觉好些。因此,坦率地说,我们确实认为这是有风险的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外的风险。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的陕西黑猫焦化的 2 个警告信号,其中 1 个有点令人担忧。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。
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