When you see that almost half of the companies in the Software industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 6.9x, Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688152) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 24x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Hunan Kylinsec Technology
What Does Hunan Kylinsec Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Hunan Kylinsec Technology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Kylinsec Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Hunan Kylinsec Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 40% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 6.2% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 163% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 38% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Hunan Kylinsec Technology is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What Does Hunan Kylinsec Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look into Hunan Kylinsec Technology shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Having said that, be aware Hunan Kylinsec Technology is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.