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China Reinsurance (Group) (HKG:1508) Shareholders Have Endured a 63% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

China Reinsurance (Group) (HKG:1508) Shareholders Have Endured a 63% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

中国再保险(集团)(HKG: 1508)股东五年前因投资该股而蒙受了63%的损失
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/14 18:03

Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. Zooming in on an example, the China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation (HKG:1508) share price dropped 71% in the last half decade. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. Furthermore, it's down 14% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 5.6% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

一般来说,长期投资是必经之路。但不幸的是,有些公司根本没有成功。放大一个示例, 中国再保险(集团)股份有限公司 (HKG: 1508) 股价在过去五年中下跌了71%。对于那些买入接近顶部的股东,我们当然有同感。此外,它在大约一个季度内下降了14%。对于持有者来说,这并不好玩。当然,这一股价走势很可能受到整个期间大盘下跌5.6%的影响。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,让我们来看看公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的进展一致。

Check out our latest analysis for China Reinsurance (Group)

查看我们对中国再保险(集团)的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Looking back five years, both China Reinsurance (Group)'s share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 5.9% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 22% per year, over the period. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The low P/E ratio of 5.11 further reflects this reticence.

回顾五年,中国再保险(集团)的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者每年下降5.9%。读者应注意,在此期间,股价的下跌速度快于每股收益,每年下降22%。因此,过去市场似乎对该业务过于自信。5.11的低市盈率进一步反映了这种沉默。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片发现确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1508 Earnings Per Share Growth November 14th 2023
香港交易所:1508 每股收益增长 2023 年 11 月 14 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on China Reinsurance (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪水比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官都要适中。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。这个 免费的 如果你想进一步调查该股,那么关于中国再保险(集团)的收益、收入和现金流的互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for China Reinsurance (Group) the TSR over the last 5 years was -63%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。我们注意到,中国再保险(集团)在过去5年的股东总回报率为-63%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Investors in China Reinsurance (Group) had a tough year, with a total loss of 1.6% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 2.6%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 10% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that China Reinsurance (Group) is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

中国再保险(集团)的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总亏损1.6%(包括股息),而市场涨幅约为2.6%。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望看到企业的基本指标有所改善,然后才会变得过于感兴趣。不幸的是,鉴于过去五年中亏损了10%,长期股东遭受的损失更大。在认为股价将稳定之前,我们希望获得明确的信息,表明公司将增长。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即便如此,请注意中国再保险(集团)的表现如何 我们的投资分析中有 1 个警告信号 ,你应该知道...

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想去另一家公司看看 —— 一家财务状况可能优异的公司 —— 那千万不要错过这个 免费的 已证明可以增加收益的公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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