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Guomai Technologies, Inc.'s (SZSE:002093) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Guomai Technologies, Inc.'s (SZSE:002093) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

国迈科技有限公司's (SZSE: 002093) 股市上涨但财务状况却模棱两可:势头会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/14 18:25

Most readers would already be aware that Guomai Technologies' (SZSE:002093) stock increased significantly by 13% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Guomai Technologies' ROE in this article.

大多数读者已经意识到,国迈科技(SZSE:002093)的股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了13%。但是,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未给出公司财务状况的明确信号。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究国迈科技的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

View our latest analysis for Guomai Technologies

查看我们对国迈科技的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guomai Technologies is:

因此,根据上述公式,国脉科技的投资回报率为:

3.2% = CN¥117m ÷ CN¥3.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

3.2% = 1.17亿元人民币 ¥36亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。因此,这意味着其股东每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.03元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Guomai Technologies' Earnings Growth And 3.2% ROE

国迈科技的收益增长和3.2%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Guomai Technologies' ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 5.8%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 8.2% seen by Guomai Technologies over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很明显,国迈科技的投资回报率相当低。不仅如此,即使与5.8%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不起眼。在这种情况下,国脉科技在过去五年中净收入大幅下降8.2%也就不足为奇了。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益前景产生负面影响。例如,该公司的支付率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

However, when we compared Guomai Technologies' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.0% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将国迈科技的增长与行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但同期该行业的收益增长了7.0%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002093 Past Earnings Growth November 14th 2023
深圳证券交易所:002093 过去的收益增长 2023 年 11 月 14 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Guomai Technologies fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是估值股票时要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益增长是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是黯淡的未来。与其他公司相比,国脉科技的估值是否公平?这三种估值指标可能有助于您做出决定。

Is Guomai Technologies Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

国迈科技是否在有效利用其利润?

When we piece together Guomai Technologies' low three-year median payout ratio of 11% (where it is retaining 89% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

当我们将国迈科技在过去三年中计算得出的低三年期中位支付率为11%(保留了89%的利润)时,我们对增长乏力感到困惑。当一家公司保留大部分收益时,情况通常不应该如此。因此,在这方面可能还有其他一些解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Moreover, Guomai Technologies has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,国脉科技支付股息已有至少十年或更长时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。

Summary

摘要

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Guomai Technologies' performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Guomai Technologies.

总的来说,我们对国迈科技的表现有些矛盾。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但较低的投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且,它对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,做到这一点的一种方法是研究业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将显示我们为国迈科技确定的1种风险。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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