Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd (SZSE:000158) A Risky Investment?
Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd (SZSE:000158) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000158) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
有人说,作为投资者,波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你研究公司的资产负债表的风险时,自然会考虑它的资产负债表,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们注意到,石家庄常山北明科技有限公司, Ltd(深交所代码:000158)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。资本主义的重要部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。
View our latest analysis for Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd
查看我们对石家庄常山北明科技有限公司的最新分析
What Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?
石家庄常山北明科技有限公司的净负债是多少?
As you can see below, Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd had CN¥5.39b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥1.37b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥4.02b.
如下所示,截至2023年9月,石家庄常山北明科技有限公司的债务为53.9亿元人民币,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但是,它也有13.7亿元人民币的现金,因此其净负债为402亿元人民币。
How Healthy Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
石家庄常山北明科技有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥8.00b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.32b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.37b and CN¥3.37b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.58b.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,石家庄常山北明科技有限公司在一年内到期的负债为800亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为13.2亿元人民币。另一方面,它在一年内有13.7亿元人民币的现金和价值33.7亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债超过现金和(近期)应收账款总额45.8亿元人民币。
Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥17.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
石家庄常山北明科技有限公司的市值为175亿元人民币,因此,如果有需要,它很可能会筹集资金来改善资产负债表。但是,仍然值得仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为石家庄常山北明科技有限公司需要收益来偿还这笔债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。点击此处查看交互式快照。
In the last year Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 20%, to CN¥8.5b. We would much prefer see growth.
去年,石家庄常山北明科技有限公司出现利息和税前亏损,实际收入减少了20%,至85亿元人民币。我们更希望看到增长。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥658m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥202m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
尽管石家庄常山北明科技有限公司收入的下降差不多像开玩笑一样令人心动,但可以说,其息税前收益(EBIT)亏损的吸引力更小。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为6.58亿元人民币。当我们审视这个问题并回顾其资产负债表上相对于现金的负债时,我们认为该公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,尽管并非无法修复。如果它将过去十二个月的2.02亿元人民币的亏损转化为利润,我们会感觉好些。因此,我们确实认为这只股票风险很大。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外的风险。例如,石家庄常山北明科技有限公司有三个警告标志,我们认为你应该注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。
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