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Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd (SZSE:000158) A Risky Investment?

Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd (SZSE:000158) A Risky Investment?

石家莊常山北明科技有限公司(深交所:000158)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/14 19:46

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000158) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但沃倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到石家莊常山北明科技有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000158)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

View our latest analysis for Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd

查看我們對石家莊常山北明科技有限公司的最新分析

What Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?

石家莊常山北明科技有限公司的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd had CN¥5.39b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥1.37b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥4.02b.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,石家莊常山北明科技有限公司的債務爲53.9億元人民幣,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但是,它也有13.7億元人民幣的現金,因此其淨負債爲402億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000158 Debt to Equity History November 15th 2023
深交所:000158 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 11 月 15 日

How Healthy Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

石家莊常山北明科技有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥8.00b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.32b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.37b and CN¥3.37b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.58b.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,石家莊常山北明科技有限公司在一年內到期的負債爲800億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲13.2億元人民幣。另一方面,它在一年內有13.7億元人民幣的現金和價值33.7億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過現金和(近期)應收賬款總額45.8億元人民幣。

Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥17.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

石家莊常山北明科技有限公司的市值爲175億元人民幣,因此,如果需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲石家莊長山北明科技有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 20%, to CN¥8.5b. We would much prefer see growth.

去年,石家莊長山北明科技有限公司在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了20%,至85億元人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥658m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥202m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

儘管石家莊長山北明科技有限公司收入的下降就像開玩笑一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲6.58億元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。如果它將過去十二個月的2.02億元的虧損轉化爲利潤,我們會感覺更好。因此,我們確實認爲這隻股票風險很大。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,石家莊常山北明科技有限公司有3個警示標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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