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Why We're Not Concerned About LanzaTech Global, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LNZA) Share Price

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 15, 2023 05:24

When close to half the companies in the Commercial Services industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider LanzaTech Global, Inc. (NASDAQ:LNZA) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 15.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for LanzaTech Global

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:LNZA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2023

How Has LanzaTech Global Performed Recently?

LanzaTech Global certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on LanzaTech Global will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, LanzaTech Global would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 63% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 193% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 182% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 10%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that LanzaTech Global's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of LanzaTech Global's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for LanzaTech Global (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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