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We Think ZipRecruiter's (NYSE:ZIP) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think ZipRecruiter's (NYSE:ZIP) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我们认为 ZipRecruiter(纽约证券交易所代码:ZIP)的健康收益可能是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/15 05:34

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from ZipRecruiter, Inc. (NYSE:ZIP) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

尽管数字良好,但上周ZipRecruiter, Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:ZIP)发布的财报似乎让市场不知所措。我们做了一些分析,以找出原因,并认为投资者可能会错过收益中包含的一些令人鼓舞的因素。

See our latest analysis for ZipRecruiter

查看我们对 ZipRecruiter 的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:ZIP Earnings and Revenue History November 15th 2023
纽约证券交易所:ZIP 收益和收入记录 2023 年 11 月 15 日

Zooming In On ZipRecruiter's Earnings

放大查看 ZipRecruiter 的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但是如果应计比率为正,则被认为是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

For the year to September 2023, ZipRecruiter had an accrual ratio of -2.09. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$103m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$62.9m. ZipRecruiter did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

在截至2023年9月的一年中,ZipRecruiter的应计比率为-2.09。这意味着它的现金转换率非常好,而且其去年的收益实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为1.03亿美元,远远超过其6,290万美元的法定利润。ZipRecruiter的自由现金流确实同比下降,这并不理想,就像辛普森没有Groundskeeper Willie的剧集一样。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On ZipRecruiter's Profit Performance

我们对 ZipRecruiter 利润表现的看法

As we discussed above, ZipRecruiter's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that ZipRecruiter's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 8.7% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about ZipRecruiter as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in ZipRecruiter.

正如我们上面所讨论的,ZipRecruiter的应计比率表明利润强劲地转换为自由现金流,这对公司来说是积极的。基于这一观察,我们认为ZipRecruiter的法定利润实际上可能低估了其盈利潜力!最重要的是,在过去三年中,其每股收益以每年8.7%的速度增长。当然,在分析其收益时,我们才刚刚浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。如果您想进一步了解ZipRecruiter作为一家企业,请务必意识到其面临的任何风险。为了帮助解决这个问题,我们发现了 4 个警告标志(2 个不太适合我们!)在购买ZipRecruiter的任何股票之前,你应该意识到这一点。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of ZipRecruiter's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解ZipRecruiter利润的性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多值得发现的地方。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明商业经济状况良好,而另一些人则喜欢 “追随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。尽管可能需要代表你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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