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Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool (SZSE:002559) Investors Are up 14% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 16, 2023 23:29

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. To wit, the Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool share price has climbed 98% in five years, easily topping the market return of 32% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 13% in the last year , including dividends .

Since it's been a strong week for Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool's earnings per share are down 56% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years. This was, in part, due to extraordinary items impacting earning in the last twelve months.

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

The modest 1.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 5.9% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

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SZSE:002559 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 16th 2023

Take a more thorough look at Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool's TSR for the last 5 years was 121%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 13% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 17% per year, is even more impressive. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

We will like Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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