When you see that almost half of the companies in the Leisure industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.4x, Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong) Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002348) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 13.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd
How Has Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 22%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 45% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd's P/S Mean For Investors?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong)Ltd you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.