Market forces rained on the parade of Boxlight Corporation (NASDAQ:BOXL) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded their forecasts for next year.   Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.    

After the downgrade, the three analysts covering Boxlight are now predicting revenues of US$188m in 2024. If met, this would reflect a credible 4.3% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months.      The loss per share is anticipated to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 70% to US$0.78.       However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$223m and US$0.25 per share in losses.         So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a serious cut to their revenue forecasts while also expecting losses per share to increase.    

View our latest analysis for Boxlight

NasdaqCM:BOXL Earnings and Revenue Growth November 16th 2023

The consensus price target fell 42% to US$4.67, implicitly signalling that lower earnings per share are a leading indicator for Boxlight's valuation.    

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself.     We would highlight that Boxlight's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 3.4% annualised growth rate until the end of 2024 being well below the historical 42% p.a. growth over the last five years.    Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 5.5% annually.  Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Boxlight is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.    

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year.        Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market.        After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Boxlight.  

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders.   At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Boxlight going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.