Health Check: How Prudently Does China Transinfo Technology (SZSE:002373) Use Debt?
Health Check: How Prudently Does China Transinfo Technology (SZSE:002373) Use Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002373) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李璐對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,中國千方科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002373)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多少風險?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,銀行家無情地清算倒閉的企業。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,這也是爲了自己的利益。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起看。
View our latest analysis for China Transinfo Technology
查看我們對中國千方科技的最新分析
How Much Debt Does China Transinfo Technology Carry?
中國千方科技揹負了多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Transinfo Technology had debt of CN¥998.6m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥1.11b over a year. However, it does have CN¥4.27b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥3.27b.
您可以點擊下圖了解更多詳細信息,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月底,中國千方科技的債務爲9.986億元人民幣,低於一年的11.11億元人民幣。但是,它確實有42.7億元人民幣的現金抵消了這一點,因此淨現金爲32.7億元人民幣。
How Strong Is China Transinfo Technology's Balance Sheet?
中國千方科技的資產負債表有多強勁?
The latest balance sheet data shows that China Transinfo Technology had liabilities of CN¥5.89b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥399.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.27b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.05b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.03b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,中國千方科技在一年內到期的負債爲58.9億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲3.999億元人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它有42.7億元人民幣的現金以及價值40.5億元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有 2.03 億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。
This surplus suggests that China Transinfo Technology has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, China Transinfo Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Transinfo Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
這種盈餘表明,中國千方科技的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,中國千方科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定中國千方科技能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你專注於未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Over 12 months, China Transinfo Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥7.4b, which is a fall of 11%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在過去的12個月中,千方科技的息稅前利潤水平出現虧損,收入下降至74億元人民幣,下降了11%。這不是我們希望看到的。
So How Risky Is China Transinfo Technology?
那麼,中國千方科技有多危險?
While China Transinfo Technology lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥28m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - China Transinfo Technology has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
儘管中國千方科技在息稅前收益(EBIT)水平上虧損,但實際上卻實現了2800萬元人民幣的票面利潤。因此,當你考慮到它擁有淨現金和法定利潤時,至少在短期內,該股票可能沒有看起來那麼危險。鑑於收入增長乏力,一旦息稅前收益爲正,我們就會對股票感到更加滿意。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外的風險。例如,中國千方科技有 1 個警告標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。