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Is LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002036) A Risky Investment?

Is LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002036) A Risky Investment?

聯創電子科技有限公司(深交所:002036)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/21 10:14

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that LianChuang Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002036) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到聯創電子科技有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所:002036)確實在其業務中使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東才能控制債務。當然,債務可以成爲企業,尤其是資本密集型企業的重要工具。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

See our latest analysis for LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd

查看我們對聯創電子科技有限公司的最新分析

What Is LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd's Debt?

聯創電子科技有限公司的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd had CN¥7.52b of debt, an increase on CN¥5.77b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.79b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥4.73b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,聯創電子科技有限公司在一年內有75.2億元人民幣的債務,比577億元人民幣增加。但是,由於其現金儲備爲27.9億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲47.3億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002036 Debt to Equity History November 21st 2023
SZSE: 002036 2023 年 11 月 21 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Strong Is LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

聯創電子科技有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥9.05b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.35b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.79b and CN¥3.56b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.05b.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,聯創電子科技有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲90.5億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲33.5億元人民幣。另一方面,它有27.9億加元的現金和價值35.6億元人民幣的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額60.5億元人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd is worth CN¥11.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲聯創電子科技有限公司的市值爲117億元人民幣,因此,如果有需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定聯創電子科技有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 11%, to CN¥10b. We would much prefer see growth.

去年,聯創電子科技有限公司在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了11%,至100億元人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥329m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥999m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that LianChuang Electronic TechnologyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...

在過去的十二個月中,聯創電子科技有限公司不僅收入下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲3.29億元人民幣。考慮到這一點,除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流爲負9.99億元人民幣。因此,只要說我們認爲這隻股票風險很高就足夠了。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,聯創電子科技有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,其中一個有點令人不快...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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