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Optimism for ABA Chemicals (SZSE:300261) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

Optimism for ABA Chemicals (SZSE:300261) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

儘管收益連續五年下降,但上週人們對ABA Chemicals(深交所股票代碼:300261)的樂觀情緒有所增加
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/21 18:28

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the ABA Chemicals Corporation (SZSE:300261) share price is up 67% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 37% (ignoring dividends).

當我們投資時,我們通常在尋找表現優於市場平均水平的股票。儘管主動選股涉及風險(需要多元化),但它也可以提供超額回報。例如,ABA Chemicals Corporation(深圳證券交易所代碼:300261)的股價在過去5年中上漲了67%,顯然超過了約37%的市場回報率(不包括股息)。

Since it's been a strong week for ABA Chemicals shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由於對於ABA Chemicals的股東來說,這是表現強勁的一週,讓我們來看看長期基本面的趨勢。

See our latest analysis for ABA Chemicals

查看我們對ABA Chemicals的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

ABA Chemicals' earnings per share are down 6.8% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

儘管五年來股價表現強勁,但ABA Chemicals的每股收益每年下降6.8%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

這意味着市場不太可能根據收益增長來評判該公司。由於每股收益似乎與股價不符,因此我們將改用其他指標。

We doubt the modest 0.6% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. The revenue growth of 2.5% per year hardly seems impressive. So why is the share price up? It's not immediately obvious to us, but a closer look at the company's progress over time might yield answers.

我們懷疑0.6%的適度股息收益率能否吸引許多買家購買該股。每年2.5%的收入增長似乎並不令人印象深刻。那麼爲什麼股價上漲呢?這對我們來說並不明顯,但仔細觀察公司隨着時間的推移可能會得出答案。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300261 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 21st 2023
深交所:300261 2023年11月21日收益和收入增長

Take a more thorough look at ABA Chemicals' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通過這份關於ABA Chemicals資產負債表的免費報告,更全面地了解ABA Chemicals的財務狀況。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of ABA Chemicals, it has a TSR of 75% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率以及股價回報。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設股息已被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率可以更全面地描述股票產生的回報。就ABA Chemicals而言,其過去5年的股東總回報率爲75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that ABA Chemicals shareholders are down 39% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 3.8%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 12%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for ABA Chemicals you should be aware of.

我們遺憾地報告,ABA Chemicals的股東今年下跌了39%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比大盤下跌3.8%還要嚴重。但是,可能僅僅是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年獲得12%的收入。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。儘管值得考慮市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響,但還有其他因素更爲重要。一個很好的例子:我們發現了 ABA Chemicals 的兩個警告標誌,你應該注意。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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