FSM Holdings Limited (HKG:1721) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 43%.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider FSM Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for FSM Holdings
How Has FSM Holdings Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at FSM Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on FSM Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For FSM Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like FSM Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.5%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 127% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that FSM Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
The Key Takeaway
FSM Holdings' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of FSM Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for FSM Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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