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Sanlux Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002224) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

三禄株式会社(SZSE:002224)の株式が26%上昇しましたが、まだビジネスは追いついていません。

Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/24 17:10

The Sanlux Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002224) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 32% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 36x, you may consider SanluxLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 64.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

For example, consider that SanluxLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for SanluxLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002224 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 24th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on SanluxLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like SanluxLtd's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 14%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 56% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 45% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that SanluxLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From SanluxLtd's P/E?

The strong share price surge has got SanluxLtd's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of SanluxLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for SanluxLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than SanluxLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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