In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term Shenzhen Ecobeauty Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000010) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 18% in three years, versus a market decline of about 11%. Even worse, it's down 13% in about a month, which isn't fun at all.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Ecobeauty
Shenzhen Ecobeauty wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
In the last three years Shenzhen Ecobeauty saw its revenue shrink by 37% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. With revenue in decline, the share price decline of 6% per year is hardly undeserved. The key question now is whether the company has the capacity to fund itself to profitability, without more cash. Of course, it is possible for businesses to bounce back from a revenue drop - but we'd want to see that before getting interested.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
This free interactive report on Shenzhen Ecobeauty's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Shenzhen Ecobeauty has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 6.9% in the last twelve months. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 3% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shenzhen Ecobeauty better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Shenzhen Ecobeauty has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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