share_log

Investors in China Merchants Port Group (SZSE:201872) Have Unfortunately Lost 0.8% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in China Merchants Port Group (SZSE:201872) Have Unfortunately Lost 0.8% Over the Last Five Years

不幸的是,招商局港口集团(深交所代码:201872)的投资者在过去五年中下跌了0.8%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/28 11:11

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China Merchants Port Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:201872) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 24% over a half decade.

选股的主要目的是寻找优于市场的股票。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会好坏参半。因此,我们不会责怪招商局港口集团有限公司(深交所代码:201872)的长期股东怀疑他们的持股决定,该股在过去五年中下跌了24%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得评估的是,该公司的经济状况是否与这些令人难以置信的股东回报步调一致,或者两者之间是否存在一些差距。所以我们就这么做吧。

View our latest analysis for China Merchants Port Group

查看我们对招商局港口集团的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

While the share price declined over five years, China Merchants Port Group actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 7.0% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

尽管股价在五年内下跌,但招商局港口集团实际上设法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增长7.0%。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,此前市场可能非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股还是令人失望。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由于每股收益增长与股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,值得一看其他指标,以了解股价走势。

We note that the dividend has fallen in the last five years, so that may have contributed to the share price decline.

我们注意到,股息在过去五年中有所下降,因此这可能是股价下跌的原因。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:201872 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 28th 2023
深交所:201872 收益和收入增长 2023年11月28日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

资产负债表的强度至关重要。可能值得一看我们关于其财务状况如何随着时间的推移而变化的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, China Merchants Port Group's TSR for the last 5 years was -0.8%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。碰巧的是,招商局港口集团过去5年的股东总回报率为-0.8%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, China Merchants Port Group shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 1.3% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 3.9%. Given the total loss of 0.2% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - China Merchants Port Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但招商局港口集团的股东可以放心,包括分红在内,他们过去十二个月的1.3%的亏损没有3.9%左右的市场亏损那么严重。鉴于五年内每年的总损失为0.2%,在过去的十二个月中,回报率似乎有所下降。尽管一些投资者专门收购陷入困境(但仍然被低估了)的公司,但不要忘记巴菲特说,“转机很少转机”。尽管值得考虑市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响,但还有其他因素更为重要。以风险为例,招商局港口集团有 1 个我们认为你应该注意的警告信号。

But note: China Merchants Port Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:招商局港口集团可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,来看看这份包含过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费名单吧。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发