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Is It Time To Consider Buying Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000596)?

Is It Time To Consider Buying Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000596)?

是时候考虑收购安徽古井酒业有限公司(SZSE: 000596)了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/29 11:11

Let's talk about the popular Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000596). The company's shares saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SZSE, rising to highs of CN¥292 and falling to the lows of CN¥253. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Anhui Gujing Distillery's current trading price of CN¥257 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Anhui Gujing Distillery's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

我们来谈谈广受欢迎的安徽古井酒业有限公司(SZSE: 000596)。最近几个月,该公司的股票在深交所的股价出现大幅波动,升至292元人民币的高点,跌至253元人民币的低点。一些股价变动可以为投资者提供更好的机会进入该股,并有可能以较低的价格买入。需要回答的问题是,安徽古井酒厂目前的交易价格为人民币257元是否反映了大盘股的实际价值?还是它目前被低估了,为我们提供了买入的机会?让我们根据最新的财务数据来看看安徽古井酒厂的前景和价值,看看是否存在价格变动的催化剂。

View our latest analysis for Anhui Gujing Distillery

查看我们对安徽古井酒厂的最新分析

Is Anhui Gujing Distillery Still Cheap?

安徽古井酒厂还便宜吗?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 31.3x is currently trading in-line with its industry peers' ratio, which means if you buy Anhui Gujing Distillery today, you'd be paying a relatively sensible price for it. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Anhui Gujing Distillery's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

根据我的股价倍数模型,我将公司的市盈率与行业平均水平进行了比较,目前股价似乎是合理的。在这种情况下,我之所以使用市盈率,是因为没有足够的知名度来预测其现金流。该股目前的31.3倍比率与行业同行比率一致,这意味着如果你今天收购安徽古井酒厂,你将为此付出相对合理的代价。那么,将来还有机会低价买入吗?鉴于安徽古井酒厂的份额波动相当大(即相对于其他市场,其价格变动会放大),这可能意味着价格可能会下跌,从而使我们有机会在以后买入。这是基于其高贝塔值,这是衡量股价波动的良好指标。

What does the future of Anhui Gujing Distillery look like?

安徽古井酒厂的未来会是什么样子?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000596 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 29th 2023
深交所:000596 收益和收入增长 2023年11月29日

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 70% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Anhui Gujing Distillery. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

寻求投资组合增长的投资者可能需要在购买公司股票之前考虑公司的前景。以低廉的价格收购一家前景乐观的优秀公司永远是一项不错的投资,因此,让我们也来看看该公司的未来预期。预计未来几年利润将增长70%,安徽古井酒厂的前景似乎一片光明。看来该股有更高的现金流,这应该会促进股票估值的提高。

What This Means For You

这对你意味着什么

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 000596's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 000596? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

你是股东吗?看来市场已经对000596的乐观前景进行了定价,股票的交易价格约为行业价格倍数。但是,还有其他重要因素我们今天没有考虑,例如公司的财务实力。自从你上次查看 000596 以来,这些因素有变化吗?如果价格跌至行业市盈率以下,您是否有足够的信心投资该公司?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on 000596, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for 000596, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

你是潜在的投资者吗?如果你一直在关注000596,那么现在可能不是最有利的买入时机,因为它是围绕行业价格倍数进行交易的。但是,对000596的乐观预测令人鼓舞,这意味着值得进一步研究其他因素,例如资产负债表的实力,以利用下一次价格下跌的机会。

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Anhui Gujing Distillery at this point in time. For example, Anhui Gujing Distillery has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑安徽古井酒厂目前面临的风险同样重要。例如,安徽古井酒厂有两个警告标志(其中一个可能很严重),我们认为你应该知道。

If you are no longer interested in Anhui Gujing Distillery, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您不再对安徽古井酒厂感兴趣,可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们列出的其他50多只具有高增长潜力的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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