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Cummins' (NYSE:CMI) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Notable 75% Return Over the Last Five Years

Cummins' (NYSE:CMI) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Notable 75% Return Over the Last Five Years

康明斯(紐約證券交易所代碼:CMI)的投資者將對他們在過去五年中可觀的75%回報感到滿意
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/30 09:32

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Cummins Inc. (NYSE:CMI) share price is up 53% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Unfortunately the share price is down 11% in the last year.

長期投資的要點是賺錢。更好的是,你希望看到股價的上漲幅度超過市場平均水平。對於股東來說,不幸的是,儘管康明斯公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:CMI)的股價在過去五年中上漲了53%,但仍低於市場回報率。不幸的是,去年股價下跌了11%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考慮到這一點,值得一看公司的基本面是否是長期業績的驅動力,或者是否存在一些差異。

Check out our latest analysis for Cummins

查看我們對康明斯的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

Over half a decade, Cummins managed to grow its earnings per share at 20% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 9% average annual increase in the share price. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 11.35.

在過去的五年中,康明斯成功地將其每股收益增長了20%。每股收益的增長高於股價每年平均增長9%。因此,可以得出結論,整個市場對該股變得更加謹慎。這種謹慎的情緒反映在其(相當低的)市盈率爲11.35。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:CMI Earnings Per Share Growth November 30th 2023
紐約證券交易所:CMI 每股收益增長 2023 年 11 月 30 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on Cummins' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。如果您想進一步調查該股,這份關於康明斯收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個不錯的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Cummins' TSR for the last 5 years was 75%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率以及股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率可以更全面地描述股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,康明斯過去5年的股東總回報率爲75%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息促進了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Investors in Cummins had a tough year, with a total loss of 8.3% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 12%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 12% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Cummins better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Cummins .

康明斯的投資者度過了艱難的一年,總虧損8.3%(包括股息),而市場漲幅約爲12%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望看到企業的基本指標有所改善,然後才會變得過於感興趣。好的一面是,長期股東已經賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長12%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。從長遠來看,追蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解康明斯,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。爲此,您應該注意我們在康明斯身上發現的1個警告信號。

But note: Cummins may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:康明斯可能不是最值得買入的股票。因此,來看看這份包含過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費名單吧。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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