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Cummins' (NYSE:CMI) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Notable 75% Return Over the Last Five Years

Cummins' (NYSE:CMI) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Notable 75% Return Over the Last Five Years

康明斯(纽约证券交易所代码:CMI)的投资者将对他们在过去五年中可观的75%回报感到满意
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/30 09:32

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Cummins Inc. (NYSE:CMI) share price is up 53% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Unfortunately the share price is down 11% in the last year.

长期投资的要点是赚钱。更好的是,你希望看到股价的上涨幅度超过市场平均水平。对于股东来说,不幸的是,尽管康明斯公司(纽约证券交易所代码:CMI)的股价在过去五年中上涨了53%,但仍低于市场回报率。不幸的是,去年股价下跌了11%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考虑到这一点,值得一看公司的基本面是否是长期业绩的驱动力,或者是否存在一些差异。

Check out our latest analysis for Cummins

查看我们对康明斯的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Over half a decade, Cummins managed to grow its earnings per share at 20% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 9% average annual increase in the share price. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 11.35.

在过去的五年中,康明斯成功地将其每股收益增长了20%。每股收益的增长高于股价每年平均增长9%。因此,可以得出结论,整个市场对该股变得更加谨慎。这种谨慎的情绪反映在其(相当低的)市盈率为11.35。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:CMI Earnings Per Share Growth November 30th 2023
纽约证券交易所:CMI 每股收益增长 2023 年 11 月 30 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on Cummins' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。如果您想进一步调查该股,这份关于康明斯收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Cummins' TSR for the last 5 years was 75%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率以及股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率可以更全面地描述股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,康明斯过去5年的股东总回报率为75%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息促进了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Investors in Cummins had a tough year, with a total loss of 8.3% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 12%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 12% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Cummins better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Cummins .

康明斯的投资者度过了艰难的一年,总亏损8.3%(包括股息),而市场涨幅约为12%。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望看到企业的基本指标有所改善,然后才会变得过于感兴趣。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长12%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。从长远来看,追踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解康明斯,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。为此,您应该注意我们在康明斯身上发现的1个警告信号。

But note: Cummins may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:康明斯可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,来看看这份包含过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费名单吧。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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