The Five-year Decline in Earnings for Xinhuanet SHSE:603888) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 94% Over That Period
The Five-year Decline in Earnings for Xinhuanet SHSE:603888) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 94% Over That Period
It hasn't been the best quarter for Xinhuanet Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603888) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 24% in that time. Looking further back, the stock has generated good profits over five years. It has returned a market beating 86% in that time.
对于新华网股份有限公司(SHSE:603888)股东来说,这并不是最好的季度,因为当时股价下跌了24%。再往前看,该股在五年内创造了丰厚的利润。在那段时间里,它的市场回升了86%。
In light of the stock dropping 4.1% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.
鉴于该股在过去一周下跌了4.1%,我们想调查长期情况,看看基本面是否是公司五年正回报的驱动力。
View our latest analysis for Xinhuanet
查看我们对新华网的最新分析
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
Xinhuanet's earnings per share are down 2.3% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
尽管五年来股价表现强劲,但新华网的每股收益每年下降2.3%。
So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
因此,很难说每股收益是评判公司的最佳指标,因为目前每股收益可能还没有针对利润进行优化。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。
We doubt the modest 0.7% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 6.4% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Xinhuanet is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
我们怀疑0.7%的适度股息收益率能否吸引许多买家购买该股。相比之下,每年6.4%的收入增长可能被视为新华网正在增长的证据,这确实是一个积极的因素。目前,管理层很有可能将收入增长置于每股收益增长之上。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下图中看到收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪水比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官都要适中。一直值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Xinhuanet, it has a TSR of 94% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率以及股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。就新华网而言,它在过去5年的股东总回报率为94%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that Xinhuanet has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 51% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 14% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Xinhuanet better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Xinhuanet (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
很高兴看到新华网在过去十二个月中向股东提供了51%的股东总回报率。这确实包括股息。这比五年来14%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。持乐观观点的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得越来越好。从长远来看,追踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解新华网,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,以永远存在的投资风险幽灵为例。我们在Xinhuanet上发现了4个警告信号(至少有一个有点不愉快),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
Of course Xinhuanet may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,新华网可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长型股票。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。