Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600661) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Consumer Services industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 5.2x and even P/S higher than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd
SHSE:600661 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 4th 2023
What Does Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 16% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 52% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 46% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we understand why Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's P/S
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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