Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating China Resources Cement Holdings (HKG:1313), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on China Resources Cement Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0064 = HK$441m ÷ (HK$81b - HK$12b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Therefore, China Resources Cement Holdings has an ROCE of 0.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Basic Materials industry average of 4.2%.
View our latest analysis for China Resources Cement Holdings
In the above chart we have measured China Resources Cement Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for China Resources Cement Holdings.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
When we looked at the ROCE trend at China Resources Cement Holdings, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 22%, but since then they've fallen to 0.6%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a side note, China Resources Cement Holdings has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 15% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line On China Resources Cement Holdings' ROCE
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for China Resources Cement Holdings have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 68% from where it was five years ago. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
Like most companies, China Resources Cement Holdings does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.