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Investors More Bullish on PennyMac Financial Services (NYSE:PFSI) This Week as Stock Climbs 3.1%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

Investors More Bullish on PennyMac Financial Services (NYSE:PFSI) This Week as Stock Climbs 3.1%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

儘管過去五年來收益呈下降趨勢,但本週投資者更加看好PennyMac金融服務(紐約證券交易所代碼:PFSI),股價上漲3.1%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/06 12:17

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. One great example is PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (NYSE:PFSI) which saw its share price drive 269% higher over five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 15% gain in the last three months.

在買入公司股票(假設沒有槓桿作用)之後,最糟糕的結果是你損失了所有投入的錢。但是,當你選擇一家真正蓬勃發展的公司時,你可以 使 超過 100%。一個很好的例子是PennyMac金融服務公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:PFSI),該公司的股價在五年內上漲了269%。過去三個月中15%的漲幅也令股東感到高興。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在過去一週強勁上漲之後,值得一看的是長期回報是否是由基本面改善推動的。

Check out our latest analysis for PennyMac Financial Services

查看我們對PennyMac金融服務的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, PennyMac Financial Services actually saw its EPS drop 0.8% per year.

在股價增長的五年中,PennyMac Financial Services的每股收益實際上每年下降0.8%。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設每股收益的下降並不能代表業務多年來的變化。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

We doubt the modest 1.0% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. The revenue growth of 0.7% per year hardly seems impressive. So why is the share price up? It's not immediately obvious to us, but a closer look at the company's progress over time might yield answers.

我們懷疑適度的1.0%的股息收益率能否吸引許多買家購買該股。每年0.7%的收入增長似乎並不令人印象深刻。那麼爲什麼股價上漲呢?這對我們來說並不明顯,但仔細觀察公司隨着時間的推移可能會得出答案。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:PFSI Earnings and Revenue Growth December 6th 2023
紐約證券交易所:PFSI 收益和收入增長 2023 年 12 月 6 日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, PennyMac Financial Services' TSR for the last 5 years was 291%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設股息已被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,PennyMac Financial Services在過去5年的股東總回報率爲291%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息促進了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We're pleased to report that PennyMac Financial Services shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 39% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 31% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with PennyMac Financial Services (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

我們很高興地向大家報告,PennyMac金融服務股東在一年內獲得了39%的股東總回報率。這包括股息。這比五年來31%的年化回報率要好,這意味着該公司最近的表現更好。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,可能值得仔細研究該股,以免錯過機會。儘管值得考慮市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該了解我們在PennyMac Financial Services上發現的3個警告信號(包括一個不容忽視的警告)。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,請看一下我們預計收益將增加的這份免費公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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