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The Past Year for Postal Savings Bank of China (HKG:1658) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

The Past Year for Postal Savings Bank of China (HKG:1658) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

过去一年,中国邮政储蓄银行(HKG: 1658)的投资者没有盈利
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/07 21:48

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. For example, the Postal Savings Bank of China Co., Ltd. (HKG:1658) share price is down 23% in the last year. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 5.6%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 17% in the last three years.

通过购买指数基金,很容易匹配整体市场回报。尽管个股可能成为大赢家,但更多股票却无法产生令人满意的回报。例如,中国邮政储蓄银行股份有限公司(HKG:1658)的股价在去年下跌了23%。这明显低于约5.6%的市场跌幅。但是,长期回报并没有那么糟糕,该股在过去三年中下跌了17%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

View our latest analysis for Postal Savings Bank of China

查看我们对中国邮政储蓄银行的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Unhappily, Postal Savings Bank of China had to report a 1.8% decline in EPS over the last year. This reduction in EPS is not as bad as the 23% share price fall. Unsurprisingly, given the lack of EPS growth, the market seems to be more cautious about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 3.99.

不幸的是,中国邮政储蓄银行不得不报告去年每股收益下降了1.8%。每股收益的下降并不像23%的股价下跌那么严重。毫不奇怪,鉴于每股收益增长乏力,市场似乎对该股更加谨慎。不太乐观的情绪反映在其目前的市盈率为3.99上。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到 EPS 随时间推移的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1658 Earnings Per Share Growth December 8th 2023
香港交易所:1658 每股收益增长 2023 年 12 月 8 日

Dive deeper into Postal Savings Bank of China's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Postal Savings Bank of China's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看这张中国邮政储蓄银行收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解中国邮政储蓄银行的关键指标。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Postal Savings Bank of China, it has a TSR of -19% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。就中国邮政储蓄银行而言,其过去1年的股东总回报率为-19%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息促进了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Postal Savings Bank of China shareholders are down 19% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 5.6%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 0.2% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Postal Savings Bank of China better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Postal Savings Bank of China that you should be aware of.

我们遗憾地报告,中国邮政储蓄银行的股东今年下降了19%(包括股息)。不幸的是,这比大盘下跌5.6%还要严重。但是,可能仅仅是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长0.2%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解中国邮政储蓄银行,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经为中国邮政储蓄银行确定了两个警告标志,你应该注意。

Of course Postal Savings Bank of China may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,中国邮政储蓄银行可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长型股票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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