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Tangshan Jidong CementLtd (SZSE:000401) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Tangshan Jidong CementLtd (SZSE:000401) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

唐山冀東水泥有限公司(深交所代碼:000401)有債務但沒有收益;你應該擔心嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/08 18:59

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Tangshan Jidong Cement Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000401) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,唐山冀東水泥有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000401)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人強迫他們以不利的價格籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Tangshan Jidong CementLtd

查看我們對唐山冀東水泥有限公司的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Tangshan Jidong CementLtd Carry?

唐山冀東水泥有限公司負有多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Tangshan Jidong CementLtd had CN¥21.2b of debt, an increase on CN¥17.6b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥7.35b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥13.8b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,唐山冀東水泥有限公司在一年內有212億元人民幣的債務,比176億元人民幣增加了176億元人民幣。但是,它確實有73.5億元人民幣的現金抵消了這一點,導致淨負債約爲138億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000401 Debt to Equity History December 8th 2023
深交所:000401 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 12 月 8 日

A Look At Tangshan Jidong CementLtd's Liabilities

唐山冀東水泥有限公司的負債一覽

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tangshan Jidong CementLtd had liabilities of CN¥14.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥16.5b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥7.35b and CN¥4.08b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥19.5b.

根據上次公佈的資產負債表,唐山冀東水泥有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲144億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲165億元人民幣。另一方面,它在一年內有73.5億元人民幣的現金和價值40.8億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過現金和(近期)應收賬款總額195億元人民幣。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥17.9b, we think shareholders really should watch Tangshan Jidong CementLtd's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tangshan Jidong CementLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

鑑於這筆赤字實際上高於公司179億元人民幣的市值,我們認爲股東確實應該關注唐山冀東水泥有限公司的債務水平,就像父母第一次看着孩子騎自行車一樣。假設,如果公司被迫通過以當前股價籌集資金來償還負債,則需要進行極大的稀釋。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定唐山冀東水泥有限公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你專注於未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

In the last year Tangshan Jidong CementLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 21%, to CN¥30b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,唐山冀東水泥有限公司在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了21%,至300億元人民幣。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Tangshan Jidong CementLtd's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥648m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. It's fair to say the loss of CN¥599m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Tangshan Jidong CementLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

唐山冀東水泥有限公司的收入在過去十二個月中不僅下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了6.48億元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們還對公司感到緊張。在對股票過於感興趣之前,我們希望在短期內看到一些強勁的改善。可以公平地說,5.99億元人民幣的虧損也沒有鼓勵我們;我們希望看到利潤。在那之前,我們認爲這是一隻風險股票。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外的風險。例如,唐山冀東水泥有限公司有兩個警告標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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