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Is Graco (NYSE:GGG) A Risky Investment?

Is Graco (NYSE:GGG) A Risky Investment?

固瑞克(紐約證券交易所代碼:GGG)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/13 20:15

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Graco Inc. (NYSE:GGG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他說:“我擔心的是永久虧損的可能性... 我認識的每位務實投資者都很擔心,而不是擔心股價的波動。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,聰明的貨幣似乎知道債務——通常與破產有關——是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,固瑞克公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:GGG)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東才能控制債務。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

Check out our latest analysis for Graco

查看我們對固瑞克的最新分析

What Is Graco's Debt?

固瑞克的債務是什麼?

As you can see below, Graco had US$29.0m of debt at September 2023, down from US$117.7m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$525.8m in cash, so it actually has US$496.7m net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,固瑞克的債務爲2900萬美元,低於去年同期的1.177億美元。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有5.258億美元的現金,因此實際淨現金爲4.967億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:GGG Debt to Equity History December 13th 2023
紐約證券交易所:GGG 債轉股歷史記錄 2023 年 12 月 13 日

How Strong Is Graco's Balance Sheet?

固瑞克的資產負債表有多強勁?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Graco had liabilities of US$395.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$90.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$525.8m as well as receivables valued at US$352.5m due within 12 months. So it can boast US$391.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,固瑞克在12個月內到期的負債爲3.959億美元,12個月後到期的負債爲9,050萬美元。爲了抵消這些債務,它有5.258億美元的現金以及價值3.525億美元的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產可以比之高出3.919億美元 負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Graco could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Graco boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種短期流動性表明,固瑞克可能可以輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘。簡而言之,固瑞克擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Also good is that Graco grew its EBIT at 12% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Graco's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同樣好的是,固瑞克的息稅前利潤比去年增長了12%,進一步提高了其管理債務的能力。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益,比什麼都重要,將決定固瑞克未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你專注於未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Graco has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Graco produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法削減債務。儘管固瑞克的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去三年中,固瑞克創造了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前收益的56%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司能夠在適當的時候償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Graco has net cash of US$496.7m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it also grew its EBIT by 12% over the last year. So is Graco's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Graco's earnings per share history for free.

儘管我們同情那些認爲債務相關的投資者,但您應該記住,固瑞克的淨現金爲4.967億美元,流動資產也多於負債。而且它的息稅前利潤也比去年增長了12%。那麼固瑞克的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。在大多數其他指標之上,我們認爲重要的是要追蹤每股收益的增長速度(如果有的話)。如果你也意識到了這一點,那你很幸運,因爲今天你可以免費查看這張顯示固瑞克每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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