Farmer Bros. Co. (NASDAQ:FARM) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 39% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may still consider Farmer Bros as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Farmer Bros
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What Does Farmer Bros' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Farmer Bros has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Farmer Bros' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Farmer Bros' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Farmer Bros' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 19% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 26% drop in revenue in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.2% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 2.3%, which is not materially different.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Farmer Bros' P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Farmer Bros' P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It looks to us like the P/S figures for Farmer Bros remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. Perhaps investors are concerned that the company could underperform against the forecasts over the near term.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Farmer Bros has 5 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.