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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Explosive Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002096)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Explosive Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002096)?

股票下跌和財務狀況良好:市場對爆炸有限公司(SZSE: 002096)的看法是錯誤的嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/15 18:55

Explosive (SZSE:002096) has had a rough three months with its share price down 17%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study Explosive's ROE in this article.

Explosive(深圳證券交易所:002096)經歷了艱難的三個月,其股價下跌了17%。但是,從長遠來看,股票價格通常由公司的財務狀況驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來相當可觀。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究爆炸物的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東要考慮的重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。換句話說,它揭示了該公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

View our latest analysis for Explosive

查看我們對爆炸物的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

投資回報率是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Explosive is:

因此,根據上述公式,爆炸物的投資回報率爲:

3.5% = CN¥247m ÷ CN¥7.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

3.5% = 2.47億元人民幣 ÷ 71億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。這意味着,公司每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,就會產生0.03CN的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效利潤指標。然後,根據公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 的金額及其有效性,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤保留率高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司的增長率更高。

Explosive's Earnings Growth And 3.5% ROE

Explosive的收益增長和3.5%的投資回報率

It is quite clear that Explosive's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.8%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that Explosive grew its net income at a significant rate of 42% in the last five years. We believe that there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

很明顯,爆炸物的投資回報率相當低。即使與6.8%的行業平均水平相比,投資回報率的數字也相當令人失望。但是,我們驚喜地看到,Explosive在過去五年中以42%的驚人速度增長了其淨收入。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的收益增長產生積極影響。例如——高收益留存率或實行高效管理。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Explosive's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 12% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,與行業淨收入增長進行比較時,我們發現,與同期行業平均增長12%相比,Explosive的增長相當高,這真是太好了。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002096 Past Earnings Growth December 15th 2023
SZSE: 002096 過去的收益增長 2023 年 12 月 15 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Explosive is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,你可能需要檢查一下Explosive相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Explosive Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Explosive 能否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Explosive's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 11% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (89%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Explosime的 “三年派息率中位數” 較低,爲11%,這意味着它保留了更高的利潤百分比(89%)。因此,管理層似乎正在將利潤大量再投資以發展業務,這反映在其收益增長數字上。

Besides, Explosive has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

此外,Explosive支付股息已有至少十年或更長時間了。這表明該公司致力於與股東分享利潤。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like Explosive has some positive aspects to its business. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,看來Explosive的業務確實有一些積極的方面。儘管回報率很低,但該公司將其利潤的很大一部分再投資於其業務這一事實無疑促進了其高收益增長。我們還研究了最新的分析師預測,發現該公司的收益增長預計與其當前的增長率相似。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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