Despite an already strong run, Envision Greenwise Holdings Limited (HKG:1783) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 37% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 225% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.3x, you may consider Envision Greenwise Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Envision Greenwise Holdings
What Does Envision Greenwise Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Envision Greenwise Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Envision Greenwise Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Envision Greenwise Holdings?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Envision Greenwise Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 41%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 60% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Envision Greenwise Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
The Final Word
Envision Greenwise Holdings' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Envision Greenwise Holdings maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Envision Greenwise Holdings (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.