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WenYi Trinity Technology Co., Ltd's (SHSE:600520) 31% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 09:50

WenYi Trinity Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:600520) shares have retraced a considerable 31% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 78%, which is great even in a bull market.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.1x, you may still consider WenYi Trinity Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 11.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for WenYi Trinity Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600520 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does WenYi Trinity Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at WenYi Trinity Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for WenYi Trinity Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like WenYi Trinity Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 22% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 31% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that WenYi Trinity Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

WenYi Trinity Technology's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of WenYi Trinity Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for WenYi Trinity Technology that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on WenYi Trinity Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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