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Huagong Tech Company Limited's (SZSE:000988) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 17, 2023 21:04

There wouldn't be many who think Huagong Tech Company Limited's (SZSE:000988) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 35x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Huagong Tech certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Huagong Tech

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000988 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Huagong Tech will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Huagong Tech's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Huagong Tech's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 45% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 90% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 35% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 44% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Huagong Tech's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Huagong Tech's P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Huagong Tech currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Huagong Tech that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Huagong Tech. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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