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Harbin Dongan Auto Engine Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600178) Shares Bounce 129% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 20:29

Harbin Dongan Auto Engine Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600178) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 129% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 202% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Auto Components industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600178 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

How Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 14% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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