You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4x ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300598) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.6x and even P/S higher than 11x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)
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How Has ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) Performed Recently?
For example, consider that ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)?
ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.6%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 128% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s P/S Mean For Investors?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.