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Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000828) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000828) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

東莞發展(控股)有限公司's (SZSE: 000828) 財務狀況太模糊了,無法與當前的股價勢頭聯繫起來:該股會發生什麼?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/18 22:11

Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s (SZSE:000828) stock is up by a considerable 20% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s ROE today.

在過去的三個月裏,東莞控股(SZSE:000828)的股價上漲了可觀的20%。然而,我們想知道公司不一致的財務狀況是否會對當前的股價動力產生任何不利影響。特別是,我們將關注今天的東莞控股(Holdings)的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

roe指股東權益回報率,是一種有用的工具,用於評估公司如何有效地從股東獲得的投資中產生回報。簡單來說,這衡量了一家公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

See our latest analysis for Dongguan Development (Holdings)

有關東莞控股(Holdings)的最新分析請查看我們最新的分析報告

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dongguan Development (Holdings) is:

因此,根據上述公式,東莞控股(Holdings)的ROE爲:

5.4% = CN¥853m ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

5.4%=CN¥853m÷CN¥16b(基於截至2023年9月底的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

‘return’是過去12個月的利潤。這意味着,對於每一元股東權益,公司可以創造0.05元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我們已經確定ROE是一種有效的利潤生成標準,用於評估公司未來的盈利能力,我們現在需要評估公司“保留”爲未來增長而重新投資的利潤多少,這使我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個了解。一般而言,在其他條件相等的情況下,ROE和利潤留存高的公司,增長率比沒有這些屬性的公司要高。

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一種指標。根據公司再投資或“保留”的這些利潤的多少以及效率如何,我們能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。總體來說,在其他條件相同的情況下,roe和盈利“保留”高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司增長率更高。

Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s Earnings Growth And 5.4% ROE

東莞控股(Holdings)的收益增長和5.4%的ROE

At first glance, Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 5.6%, we may spare it some thought. But Dongguan Development (Holdings) saw a five year net income decline of 5.4% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,東莞控股(Holdings)的ROE看起來並不很有前途。但考慮到該公司的ROE與行業平均ROE相近,我們可能會多想一點。但是,東莞控股(Holdings)在過去五年中淨收入下降了5.4%。請記住,該公司的ROE略低。因此,這在一定程度上解釋了盈利的縮水。

So, as a next step, we compared Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 3.8% over the last few years.

因此,作爲下一步,我們對比了東莞控股(Holdings)的業績和行業,很失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在收縮其盈利,但行業過去幾年一直以3.8%的速度增長其盈利。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000828 Past Earnings Growth December 19th 2023
SZSE:000828過去的收益增長

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Dongguan Development (Holdings) fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者了解市場是否已經定價了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)也很重要。然後,這有助於他們判斷股票未來是明亮還是暗淡。與其他公司相比,東莞控股(Holdings)是公平價值的嗎?這3種估值策略可能會幫助您決定。

Is Dongguan Development (Holdings) Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

東莞控股(Holdings)是否有效利用其滯留收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (where it is retaining 68% of its profits), Dongguan Development (Holdings) has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

儘管東莞控股(Holdings)具有普通的三年中位數支付比率爲32%(它保留了68%的利潤),但正如上面所見,其收益下降了。因此還可能存在其他因素,這些因素可能會潛在地影響增長。例如,企業面臨一些困難。

Additionally, Dongguan Development (Holdings) has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,東莞控股(Holdings)已經連續十年支付股息,這意味着即使沒有幾乎沒有盈利增長,該公司的管理層也決心支付股息。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 5 risks we have identified for Dongguan Development (Holdings).

總的來說,我們對東莞控股(Holdings)的表現有些曖昧。儘管它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但考慮到低的ROE,投資者可能並沒有從所有的再投資中受益。低收益增長表明了我們的理論是正確的。總之,我們應該謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看企業的風險概況。我們的風險控制儀表板將提供我們爲東莞控股(Holdings)確定的5個風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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