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Chang Chun Eurasia Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600697) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 22:38

Chang Chun Eurasia Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600697) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 20% is also fairly reasonable.

Although its price has surged higher, Chang Chun Eurasia Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Multiline Retail industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Chang Chun Eurasia Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600697 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

What Does Chang Chun Eurasia Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Chang Chun Eurasia Group as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. Perhaps the market isn't expecting future revenue performance to improve, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Chang Chun Eurasia Group.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Chang Chun Eurasia Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Chang Chun Eurasia Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.6%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 30% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.0% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 73% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Chang Chun Eurasia Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Chang Chun Eurasia Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite Chang Chun Eurasia Group's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Chang Chun Eurasia Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Chang Chun Eurasia Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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