When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Oxford Industries, Inc. (NYSE:OXM) as an attractive investment with its 10.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Oxford Industries' negative earnings growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings may begin to slide even faster. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. In saying that, existing shareholders may feel hopeful about the share price if the company's earnings continue tracking the market.
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How Is Oxford Industries' Growth Trending?
Oxford Industries' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its EPS growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has definitely eluded the company recently.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.1% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Oxford Industries' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Oxford Industries maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Oxford Industries has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Oxford Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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