Despite an already strong run, Guangdong Brandmax Marketing Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300805) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 37% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 85%.
Even after such a large jump in price, Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Media industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 8x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd
How Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.5%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 35% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we understand why Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangdong Brandmax MarketingLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.