Guoyuan Securities Company Limited's (SZSE:000728) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 64x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Guoyuan Securities as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Guoyuan Securities
Keen to find out how analysts think Guoyuan Securities' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Guoyuan Securities' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guoyuan Securities would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 30% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 7.0% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 44%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Guoyuan Securities is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Guoyuan Securities' P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Guoyuan Securities' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Guoyuan Securities (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guoyuan Securities, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.