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Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600316) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 20, 2023 11:46

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600316) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Aerospace & Defense companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 8x and even P/S above 15x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600316 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

How Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry Has Been Performing

Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. Revenue has also lifted 12% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 48% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Industry has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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