For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.
In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.
Check out our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory
How Fast Is Cheesecake Factory Growing Its Earnings Per Share?
In the last three years Cheesecake Factory's earnings per share took off; so much so that it's a bit disingenuous to use these figures to try and deduce long term estimates. So it would be better to isolate the growth rate over the last year for our analysis. Outstandingly, Cheesecake Factory's EPS shot from US$0.98 to US$1.68, over the last year. It's not often a company can achieve year-on-year growth of 71%.
It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. EBIT margins for Cheesecake Factory remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 8.2% to US$3.5b. That's a real positive.
In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.
NasdaqGS:CAKE Earnings and Revenue History December 20th 2023
Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Cheesecake Factory's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.
Are Cheesecake Factory Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
It should give investors a sense of security owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, creating a close alignment their interests. Cheesecake Factory followers will find comfort in knowing that insiders have a significant amount of capital that aligns their best interests with the wider shareholder group. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth US$137m. Holders should find this level of insider commitment quite encouraging, since it would ensure that the leaders of the company would also experience their success, or failure, with the stock.
Is Cheesecake Factory Worth Keeping An Eye On?
Cheesecake Factory's earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. That EPS growth certainly is attention grabbing, and the large insider ownership only serves to further stoke our interest. At times fast EPS growth is a sign the business has reached an inflection point, so there's a potential opportunity to be had here. So at the surface level, Cheesecake Factory is worth putting on your watchlist; after all, shareholders do well when the market underestimates fast growing companies. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Cheesecake Factory you should know about.
There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a tailored list of companies which have demonstrated growth backed by recent insider purchases.
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
初心者にとっては、現在収益や利益履歴がなくても、投資家に良いストーリーを伝える企業を買うことは良い考え(そしてエキサイティングな展望)に思えるかもしれません。しかし、Peter Lynchは「One Up On Wall Street」という本の中で言ったように、「ロングショットはほとんど報われない。」損失を出している企業は、資本のスポンジのように振る舞い、投資家は良いお金を悪いものに投資することはないよう注意すべきです。その逆に、多くの投資家は、売上高だけでなく利益も持つCheesecake Factory(NASDAQ:CAKE)のような企業に焦点を合わせることを好む傾向があります。投資する際に考慮すべき指標が利益だけではないということには注意が必要ですが、それでも一定の収益を持続的に生み出すビジネスを認識することは価値があります。Cheesecake Factoryの最新分析をチェックしてください。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。