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MiMedx Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDXG) Stock Catapults 27% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 20, 2023 18:30

MiMedx Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDXG) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness.    The last month tops off a massive increase of 237% in the last year.  

Even after such a large jump in price, MiMedx Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.6x and even P/S above 49x are quite common.   Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.  

View our latest analysis for MiMedx Group

NasdaqCM:MDXG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

How Has MiMedx Group Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, MiMedx Group has been relatively sluggish.   It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio.  If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.    

Keen to find out how analysts think MiMedx Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?  

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like MiMedx Group's to be considered reasonable.  

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line.   Revenue has also lifted 21% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth.  Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.  

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% per annum over the next three years.  That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 235% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that MiMedx Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies.  Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.  

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price move, MiMedx Group's P/S still trails the rest of the industry.      Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of MiMedx Group's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S.  Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S.  The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.    

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for MiMedx Group that you need to be mindful of.  

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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