Jiayou International Logistics Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603871) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 64x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Jiayou International LogisticsLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiayou International LogisticsLtd
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Jiayou International LogisticsLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jiayou International LogisticsLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 53% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 125% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 44% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiayou International LogisticsLtd you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Jiayou International LogisticsLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.