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Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited (HKG:174) Following 27% Share Price Slump

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 22, 2023 19:18

Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited (HKG:174) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 23% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, Gemini Investments (Holdings) may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Capital Markets industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 2.5x and even P/S higher than 10x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Gemini Investments (Holdings)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:174 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 23rd 2023

What Does Gemini Investments (Holdings)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Gemini Investments (Holdings)'s revenue has been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Gemini Investments (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Gemini Investments (Holdings)'s to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Despite the lack of growth, the company was still able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 40%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's peculiar that Gemini Investments (Holdings)'s P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Gemini Investments (Holdings)'s P/S

Shares in Gemini Investments (Holdings) have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Gemini Investments (Holdings) revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Gemini Investments (Holdings) (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gemini Investments (Holdings), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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