Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (NASDAQ:ICHR) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 29%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Ichor Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Semiconductor industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.4x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Ichor Holdings
NasdaqGS:ICHR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 23rd 2023
What Does Ichor Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
Ichor Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ichor Holdings.
How Is Ichor Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ichor Holdings would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 28%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 5.9% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 5.8% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 40% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this information, we are not surprised that Ichor Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price move, Ichor Holdings' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
It's clear to see that Ichor Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Ichor Holdings that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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